Research Study Financial Crises on Durban’s...

URL: https://datasets.edge.durban/dataset/69b30e59-3cc3-4d43-9d10-c19297991d66/resource/c64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3/download/final-v3-research-study-financial-crises-on-durbans-economy-.pdf

This paper investigates the long-term impacts of financial crises on economic growth in Durban, South Africa, using quarterly data spanning from 1995Q1 to 2024Q1. Applying a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive (TVP-VAR) framework. The study captures the evolving dynamic responses of key economic indicators, including GDP growth, gross fixed capital formation, employment, and household consumption, to shocks in a financial crisis index. Findings reveal that financial shocks induce pronounced hysteresis effects characterized by an initial transient increase in GDP followed by significant contractions and sluggish recovery, highlighting persistent structural scarring.

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Data last updatedJuly 9, 2025
Metadata last updatedJuly 9, 2025
CreatedJuly 9, 2025
FormatPDF
License Creative Commons Attribution
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Datastore contains all records of source fileFalse
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Idc64eb003-0e90-4308-9fcd-95ddddd16af3
Mimetypeapplication/pdf
Package id69b30e59-3cc3-4d43-9d10-c19297991d66
Position39
Size607 KiB
Stateactive
Url typeupload